Race 1) 3-10-2. The #3 horse, I believe, will most likely be the favorite here and probably deserves to be. The other two are value horses that could potentially win, but I think they will finish underneath the #3 to open the day at Keenland.
Race 2) PASS This race is either an all race or single the 9 who has had showed the most potential in limited starts as many in this race are first time starters. There is a good chance while horses who have already raced tend to do better against first time starters this field is loaded with them. These aren’t likely the ones that end up in small claimers so this is either a race to pass or bet all. The race should produce some type of value as I think any horse can win this one and its likely going to be a first time starter at a price.
Race 3) 6-3-7-1. This also seems to be a pretty open race the more I looked at it. Taking a chance on the #6 horse here, which was claimed from a barn that has been having recent success at the Keeneland meet. There will be good juicy odds to bet on this one as it will be a longshot. Others in selections, if making multi-wager bets, I recommend using those. Any others are up to you at your discretion.
Race 4) 8-3-6-5. This race comes as a doozy on the card. The 5 in here is likely to get overbet on his recent form, stepping up in class from very low-level tracks to one of the main tracks in the entire country. This is a race to likely avoid this favorite should his morning line hold true. Hopefully, the 8 horse in here gets overlooked because of the form of the 5, if not, this one could end up as the favorite, even potentially a big favorite, as this one is taking a drop in class and on class, is much better than this field. The #3 horse in here has good trainer stats and did win last time out, inside post for today’s race, and could very well be there in the end. The last two, 6 and 5, are ones I see to finish 3rd, 4th or out of it. The 6 horse does have some class but has a jock abroad who has been struggling at the meet.
Race 5) 5-11-4-2-6. The #5 horse in here has been consistently right there in defeat in the first two starts. It gets arguably the best jockey on the turf in this race. The 11 is the other likely winner I see, with good trainer and jockey stats that argue this one should be the first choice. These two will likely be the second and first choice in wagering odds. The 4 is a first-time starter who I think may be live value for underneath if this one can’t win first time out. The trainer of this horse has only raced 17 times on the turf this meet, but has won at an astonishing 41% win clip. The downside is that this trainer has 13 first-time starters but only a 15% win clip. You’ll likely get long odds with this one. You can’t count it out of multi-wagers, especially if you’re looking for a big score. The 6 in here is a good horse but gets a struggling jockey this meet, so others are more likely.
Race 6) 4-3-6-8. The #4 horse in here should have the class edge, and I think it will win easily. It could be a good candidate to single in multi-race wagers. The other horses are also live longshots in this race, but based on class, the 4 should beat this field fairly easily. The other three horses are likely to race well, but probably just a little too tough and will round out the exotics.
Race 7) 3-10-8-4 This race the more and more I looked seemed competitive but I think there’s value in the 3 who has been consistent in first two starts. This one may enjoy longer as this race is shorter than its win last race. should get good value for fandual promotion on this one as if this one doesn’t win you’ll get up to 10$ back on your first win bet this race. check FD for selected races. Not only that but I see the 10 will likely be the one to get bet with the better jock so this one’s odds may come down from morning line and be the favorite. 8 is other live horse in here I believe with the 4 being a longshot that may or may not round out exotics can leave this one off multi race wagers as I see the others being more likely.
Race 8) 6-11. This race sees the #6 horse taking a major drop in class. I expect this one to be bet down heavily because of some of the graded races this one has in its past. The class edge is above the rest of the field. The horse that may be of value to play against and is the only other one I see that could is the #11, with a good jockey and trainer to shape up for an upset. The class edge with the #6 in here will be hard to overcome, and this seems like a race to single the #6 for multi-race wagers. A possible 6-11 exacta this race, straight or boxed, depending on odds as the race comes closer with pools being finalized.
Race 9) 4-10-1 The last and final race on the card. The #4 horse has been consistent in the first two starts. The #10 once again gets arguably the best jockey on turf in the country, so don’t count this one out. The #1 in here gets a slight drop in class and gets the inside post here, opposed to the outside in the last start. This one should be close and be making a move on the rail late, saving ground. It could leave the gate as well but will be up on the pace then, and if the #1 horse does save ground on the inside, it will need a gap to open to either ride the rail or switch out wide. It will be a thrilling finish to an amazing day of racing at Keenland.
HRG101 